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Ford shares: Buy or sell?

01.05.10

Ford is back. The automaker recently reported its first annual profit in four years; sales are improving; and investors have pushed up its stock 550% in the past year.

Government bond prices reversed their new year's slide Thursday as investors weighed a flood of supply against a potentially sour unemployment report being released by the government on Friday. The euro recovered from earlier losses Thursday amid speculation that the European Central Bank could intervene in the currency market, following signs the Swiss National Bank is already doing so. Stocks got pummeled Thursday, with the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 losing enough to fall into "correction territory" - marked by a drop of more than 10% off the rally highs.



The dollar goes down. Stocks go up. Lather. Rinse. Repeat. After hitting a new 7-month low earlier in the day, oil prices rebounded as investors looked ahead to the expiration date of the active futures contract. Oil prices jumped Friday for the third straight day as optimism about the economic recovery and a weaker dollar boosted the appeal of crude.

When new clients come to me, I ask them a few questions about risk. One is "What would you do if the value of your stocks fell by 50%?"

Shares of major U.S. banks rallied Friday after the Senate passed a sweeping overhaul of the financial system. Money manager Ron Muhlenkamp gets a lot of credit for his bold, macro-driven investing style, and he deserves it: His namesake fund has returned 9% annually over the last 15 years, 2% better than the S&P 500.

Oil prices extended their declines Thursday as further signs of economic weakness signaled a slowdown in demand. The dollar fell against the euro Friday as investors gravitated toward more risky assets amid signs an aid package for Greece may be announced over the weekend. Oil prices rose for the second straight day Thursday, after upbeat jobs data and the dollar weakened against the euro, boosting the attractiveness of crude.



Yes, Citigroup lost billions in the financial crisis. And yes, it's still swimming in toxic assets. But Bruce Berkowitz argues the worst is over. Where's the bottom? It's the question every investor is asking. We wish we could tell you when the stock market will reach that point - we really do. But we have no idea. Nobody does. This much, however, we can say: Don't wait for that perfect moment when the markets sink to their absolute floor. Because by the time you're certain prices have reached that spot, the moment will have passed, and you may have missed a dramatic rebound. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are up for the year after a rough stretch from mid-January to early February. The Dow had joined them earlier Wednesday before pulling back.

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