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Treasurys slip after Fed announcement

01.05.10

Treasurys fell Wednesday, after a government auction drew moderate demand and the Federal Reserve announced it will leave interest rates unchanged for an "extended period."

Stocks ended higher Friday, finding momentum at the end of a very choppy session in which concerns about global growth vied with investor willingness to scoop up shares beaten down in the recent sell-off. We all know that 2008 was a horrific year for the stock market. But to really put into perspective how terrible it was, get a load of this. Only one mutual fund that focuses on buying U.S. stocks made money in 2008. One! Oil prices rose for the second straight day Thursday, after upbeat jobs data and the dollar weakened against the euro, boosting the attractiveness of crude.



Where's the bottom? It's the question every investor is asking. We wish we could tell you when the stock market will reach that point - we really do. But we have no idea. Nobody does. This much, however, we can say: Don't wait for that perfect moment when the markets sink to their absolute floor. Because by the time you're certain prices have reached that spot, the moment will have passed, and you may have missed a dramatic rebound. Gold surged to a record high Tuesday after a news report sparked widespread talk about the U.S. dollar being unseated as the currency for trading oil. Australia's raising interest rates! The global recession is over! The only question now is how strong and fast the economic rebound will be. Hip hip hooray!

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The Dow managed to eke out a fresh 19-month high Monday on Caterpillar's strong earnings, but a selloff in financials hit the broader market at the start of a busy week on Wall Street. The dollar was mixed against its main trading partners Wednesday as a retreat on Wall Street boosted some demand for the greenback as a safe haven.

Treasurys fell Monday after the government received strong demand for its sale of $7 billion worth of 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities. The stakes are high whenever you invest, but they're extra high when you're managing your money amid a historic financial mess and record volatility. For advice equal to the task - in a setting chosen to inspire thoughts of security - we invited five champion fund managers to sit down inside a massive underground vault that's now part of a restaurant a block from Wall Street: Bob Rodriguez of First Pacific Advisors, who manages the FPA Capital and New Income funds; Susan Byrne, who heads Westwood Holdings Group; Leslie Christian, president and chief investment officer of Portfolio 21 Investments; Tom Forester, manager of the Forester Value fund; and Jeremy Grantham, chairman of asset manager GMO. Fortune's Geoff Colvin led the discussion. Edited excerpts follow; stock prices are as of Dec. 1. The euro continued bouncing off four-year lows seen earlier this week, as investors unwound bets against the shared currency on speculation that the European Central Bank will intervene in the market for the first time in 10 years.



The dollar weakened Thursday as investors regained some appetite for risk amid easing concerns about Greece and strong corporate results. The dollar retreated against major currencies Wednesday as two weak jobs reports showed that the already battered U.S. labor market wasn't getting better. Oil prices fell Thursday, as stocks got hammered on worries about spreading European debt problems.

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